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eco-1002 · Money and monetary policy

The Fed's Balance Sheet and the Money Supply

How the Federal Reserve's assets and liabilities determine the monetary base, and how that base is multiplied into the broader money supply through bank lending.

⏱ 30 min Tags: monetary policy, Fed, money supply, Hubbard Ch 14

Learning objectives

  • Explain the relationship between the Fed's balance sheet and the monetary base.
  • Derive the equation for the simple deposit multiplier and use T-accounts to illustrate multiple deposit creation.
  • Explain how the actions of banks and the nonbank public affect the money multiplier.

The Fed’s balance sheet

The Federal Reserve, like any bank, has a balance sheet. Its assets are primarily Treasury securities and (since 2008) mortgage-backed securities. Its liabilities are currency in circulation and bank reserves. Together those two liabilities form the monetary base, often denoted MBMB or BB:

MB  =  Currency  +  Reserves.MB \;=\; \text{Currency} \;+\; \text{Reserves}.

When the Fed buys \1billionofTreasuriesontheopenmarket,itpayswithnewlycreatedreservesbothsidesofitsbalancesheetgrowbybillion of Treasuries on the open market, it pays with newly created reserves — both sides of its balance sheet grow by$1B.ThemonetarybaserisesbythatsameB. The monetary base rises by that same $1$B. This is the central fact that makes the Fed’s open-market operations a monetary-policy tool.

From base to broad money

The monetary base is small. The actual money supply (M1, M2) is much larger because banks lend out a fraction of every deposit, and those loans become new deposits at other banks. The ratio between MM and MBMB is the money multiplier mm:

M  =  mMB.M \;=\; m \cdot MB.

In the simple case where banks hold a fraction rr of every deposit as reserves and the public holds no currency, repeated re-lending gives the simple deposit multiplier msimple=1/rm_{\text{simple}} = 1/r. With r=0.10r = 0.10, \1ofbasecreatesof base creates$10$ of deposits.

The realistic money multiplier

Two leakages shrink the multiplier:

  1. The public chooses to hold some currency. Let C/DC/D be the currency-deposit ratio.
  2. Banks hold some reserves beyond what’s required (excess reserves). Let R/DR/D be the total reserve-deposit ratio.

The full money multiplier is

m  =  1+C/D(C/D)+(R/D).m \;=\; \frac{1 + C/D}{(C/D) + (R/D)}.

Both leakages reduce mm. After 2008, R/DR/D rose dramatically because the Fed began paying interest on reserves and banks chose to park excess reserves there instead of lending. The multiplier fell, so even though the Fed expanded MBMB enormously (quantitative easing), MM rose much less than MBMB did.

M2 money stock and the monetary base, monthly billions of dollars, from 1985 to 2024.
M2 (broad money, blue) and monetary base (red) since 1985. Before 2008, M2 ran roughly 9× the monetary base — the classic textbook multiplier. After 2008, the Fed expanded the base by an order of magnitude while M2 grew much more slowly. The ratio M2/MB — the realized money multiplier — fell from ~9 to under 4 and stayed there.Source: FRED, St. Louis Fed (M2SL, BOGMBASE)

Play with it

Multiplier m
3.25
Money supply M
$3250B
Deposits D
$2500B
Currency C
$750B

Money supply M = m · MB where m = (1 + C/D) / ((C/D) + (R/D)). As banks hold more excess reserves (R/D ↑) or the public holds more cash (C/D ↑), the multiplier shrinks. This is why QE's effect on M depends on what banks do with the new reserves.

Try raising R/DR/D from 0.10 to 0.30. Notice that the multiplier roughly halves — that’s the QE-era story in one chart.

Where the policy lever is

The Fed directly controls MBMB (through open-market operations, discount lending, and the size of its balance sheet). It influences R/DR/D indirectly through the interest rate it pays on reserves. It does not control C/DC/D — that’s a household choice driven by trust in banks and the cost of holding cash. This division of control is why monetary policy transmission can be slow and uncertain.

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